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The Brazilian real strengthened 0.30% to trade around 4.99 per USD, reaching its strongest level since early March. This appreciation is supported by a retreat in the US Dollar Index (DXY) toward 98.05, increasing appetite for emerging market assets. The currency continues to benefit from a high-interest-rate environment, with the Selic rate at 14.75% providing a significant real yield against an inflation rate of 4.14%. While price stability remains a priority, the attractive carry-trade appeal and a robust trade balance—highlighted by exports growing 10.0% year-on-year to $31.60 billion in March 2026—continue to provide solid support for the real's current performance.

Brazilian Real Hits 6-Week High

The Mexican peso strengthened to around 17.27 per U.S. dollar, its highest level since late February. The appreciation was driven by broad dollar weakness and increased risk appetite, supported by optimism over diplomatic progress between the US and Iran. Despite global uncertainty, Mexico continues to attract interest, underpinned by relatively high interest rates and robust manufacturing data. Monetary policy remains a key driver, with the benchmark rate at 6.75%, comfortably exceeding the 4.59% inflation rate. Meanwhile, February exports rose 15.8% to $56.85 billion, fueled by a surge in mining and manufactured goods. This resilience is further reinforced by auto exports climbing 4.2% year-over-year in March (310,205 units)

Mexican Peso Hits 6-Week High

Israel's annual inflation rate eased to 1.9% in March 2026 from 2% in the prior month, against analysts' forecasts of 2.1%. It has remained within the Bank of Israel’s 1%–3% target band for nine consecutive months. Softer price growth was seen for housing (3.8% vs 4.2% in February); miscellaneous goods & services (3.5% vs 3.9%); health (1.9% vs 2.1%); education, culture and entertainment (0.7% vs 1.3%). Conversely, prices accelerated for food, including vegetables & fruits (2.5% vs 2.3%) and transport & communications (0.7% vs 0.4%). On a monthly basis, the CPI went up by 0.4%, after a 0.2% increase in the previous month.

Israel Inflation Rate Unexpectedly Slows in March

US heating oil futures rose more than 5% to above $3.81 per gallon, rebounding from a five-week low of $3.624 on April 14 after EIA data showed a larger-than-expected draw in inventories. Distillate stocks, including diesel and heating oil, fell by 3.1 million barrels to 111.6 million in the week ended April 10, beating expectations for a 2.4 million barrel decline. Looking ahead, forecasts point to mostly warmer-than-normal temperatures through April 30, which should keep both heating and cooling demand subdued. On the geopolitical front, the US has continued its naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, although sentiment has been supported by growing optimism over potential Middle East peace talks. Reports suggest the US and Iran are moving closer to a second round of negotiations and a possible extension of the ceasefire. President Donald Trump said talks could resume within days and described the conflict as “close to over.”

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